Why 1,634 Experts Were Wrong About the Future of AI

Why 1,634 Experts Were Wrong About the Future of AI

In his 2016 book But What If We're Wrong?, writer Chuck Klosterman makes the somewhat obvious declaration that we're usually wrong about the future. Considering that many of us have a hard time predicting what we'll do for the holidays this year or if we'll even be working in the same job next year, it's not that surprising.

What is surprising is a recent report from Cornell University, which included the opinions of 1,634 experts predicting the future of AI back in 2015. One of the most surprising “revelations” concerned when AI would finally beat a human player at the board game Go. The experts said it would happen by 2027. As we all know, Google accomplished that goal this year, a full 10 years early, sparking an upswing in AI development.

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